Top Prospect
Alert - Tom Shearn
DOB: 8/28/77, Age: 24, Height:
6’4’’, Weight: 200, Bats: R, Throws: R. Acquired: Astros - Drafted in the
29th Round of the 1996 Draft. 2000 Stats: (AA - Round Rock) 9-6, 4.69 ERA,
136 IP, 134 H, 67 BB, 102 K. 2001 Stats: (AA - Round Rock) 5-6, 3.85 ERA,
110 IP, 94 H, 51 BB, 136 K.
Tom Shearn has been
playing minor league ball for the Astros for 6 years now, which is usually
an indication that the organization likes you, but doesn’t like you quite
enough. Shearn had spent one full season at each level in the Astros
organization prior to 2001, but the Astros decided to keep him in Round
Rock for another year and work him primarily out of the bullpen. Another
likely interpretation of a sixth minor league season with the same
organization is that a player won’t have the same role they started with.
That seems to be the case with Shearn now, and with the wealth of young
pitching that the Astros have, relieving may prove to be a better avenue
to the majors than starting. Shearn throws four pitches of close to
average quality, and seems to alternate between being unhittable (when
they’re all working) and being very ordinary (when he’s missing a few). He
throws 89-92 with his fastball, has a decent change and curve, and mixes
in a slider to righties now and then. Going to the bullpen certainly
allows you to put maximum effort in for a few innings, and it seemed to
help Shearn. His HR/9 frequency dropped from .94 in 2000 to .57 in 2001,
and his strikeout rate jumped from 6.75 in 2000 to 11.15 in 2001. Being a
“former” starter, he probably would be able to manage pitching every other
day or so, which could make him a valuable setup man for Billy Wagner if
he continues to progress. He seemed to have trouble with consistency when
starting, often following 4 or 5 start winning streaks with an equal
number of poor outings. This trait also might be alleviated with a more
even workload.
The Astros are loaded
with pitching prospects, so a bad year or two can kill a prospect’s career
there. The fact that they keep pushing Shearn along should bode well for
his eventual destination. I think that Shearn will be pitching out of the
bullpen in AAA in 2002, and I expect him to make an impact in the Houston
pen by 2004. With his arsenal, it’s unlikely that he will ever be a
“closer-in-waiting”, but a setup role or a middle/long relief job is
likely. The HR/9 and K/9 numbers give me a reasonable amount of confidence
in Shearn’s ability to make it to Houston, but he is not a sure thing.
Rick White of the Mets might be a reasonable comparison to Shearn, and
Shearn may very well assume a White-like role in the Astros’ pen within
the next few years.
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